Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/12/2019– Games through 3/11/2019

The projected field as of March 12, 2019.  Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line (for example, Gonzaga is currently ranked 5th).  This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction.

1 Virginia Duke North Carolina Kentucky
2 Gonzaga Michigan St Tennessee Michigan
3 Houston Texas Tech LSU Purdue
4 Kansas Florida St Wisconsin Kansas St
5 Virginia Tech Buffalo Auburn Wofford
6 Maryland Mississippi St Villanova Nevada
7 Marquette Cincinnati Louisville Iowa St
8 UCF VCU Baylor Oklahoma
9 Mississippi Iowa Utah St Washington
10 Texas Syracuse Florida Seton Hall
11 Minnesota NC State TCU Temple
12 Arizona St/Creighton Clemson/Indiana New Mexico St Murray St
13 Liberty UC Irvine Old Dominion Vermont
14 Northeastern Yale Georgia St Montana
15 Northern Kentucky Bradley Colgate Abilene Chr
16 NE Omaha Gardner Webb Texas So./Norfolk St Iona/FDU
Last 4 BYES Minnesota NC State TCU Temple
Last 4 IN Arizona St. Clemson Indiana Creighton
1st 4 OUT Ohio St Belmont St John’s Alabama
2nd 4 OUT Furman Penn St Nebraska St Mary’s CA

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/11/2019– Games through 3/10/2019

The projected field as of March 11, 2019.  Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line (for example, Gonzaga is currently ranked 5th).  This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction.

1 Virginia Duke North Carolina Kentucky
2 Gonzaga Michigan St Tennessee Michigan
3 Houston Texas Tech LSU Purdue
4 Florida St Kansas Kansas St Wisconsin
5 Virginia Tech Buffalo Maryland Auburn
6 Mississippi St Villanova Wofford Marquette
7 Nevada Louisville Iowa St Cincinnati
8 UCF VCU Baylor Iowa
9 Mississippi Oklahoma Utah St Texas
10 Washington Syracuse NC State Minnesota
11 Seton Hall TCU Florida Clemson
12 Temple/Arizona St Indiana/Creighton New Mexico St Murray St
13 Liberty UC Irvine Hofstra Old Dominion
14 Vermont Yale Georgia St Montana
15 Northern Kentucky Bradley Colgate Abilene Chr
16 Gardner Webb Omaha Texas So./Norfolk St Iona/FDU
Last 4 BYES Seton Hall TCU Florida Clemson
Last 4 IN Temple Indiana Creighton Arizona St.
1st 4 OUT Ohio St St John’s Belmont Furman
2nd 4 OUT UNC Greensboro Penn St Nebraska Georgetown

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/10/2019– Games through 3/9/2019

The projected field as of March 10, 2019.  Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  I will be updating the site daily through Selection Sunday and providing additional analysis and details on the rankings.

1 Virginia Duke North Carolina Kentucky
2 Gonzaga Michigan St Tennessee Michigan
3 Texas Tech Houston LSU Purdue
4 Kansas Florida St Kansas St Wisconsin
5 Virginia Tech Auburn Buffalo Cincinnati
6 Mississippi St Maryland Villanova Marquette
7 Nevada Wofford Louisville Iowa St
8 UCF VCU Iowa Baylor
9 Oklahoma Mississippi Utah St Texas
10 Washington Syracuse Seton Hall Florida
11 Temple NC State Minnesota TCU
12 Clemson/Arizona St Ohio St/Creighton Lipscomb New Mexico St
13 Murray St UC Irvine Old Dominion Vermont
14 Northeastern Yale Georgia St Radford
15 Montana Northern Kentucky Colgate Bradley
16 Abilene Chr NE Omaha Texas So./Norfolk St FDU/Iona
Last 4 BYES Temple NC State Minnesota TCU
Last 4 IN Clemson Ohio St. Creighton Arizona St.
1st 4 OUT Indiana Belmont St John’s Furman
2nd 4 OUT Alabama Georgetown Penn St Xavier

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/8/2019– Games through 3/7/2019

The projected field as of March 8, 2019.  Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  I will be updating the site daily through Selection Sunday.

1 Virginia Duke Gonzaga Tennessee
2 North Carolina Kentucky Michigan St Michigan
3 Houston LSU Texas Tech Purdue
4 Kansas Florida St Wisconsin Kansas St
5 Virginia Tech Buffalo Villanova Marquette
6 Cincinnati Mississippi St Maryland Auburn
7 Wofford Nevada Iowa St Louisville
8 UCF Oklahoma VCU Iowa
9 Texas Baylor Syracuse Washington
10 Utah St Minnesota Mississippi Florida
11 Ohio St St John’s Seton Hall Indiana
12 NC State/TCU Creighton/Arizona St. Belmont New Mexico St
13 Lipscomb UC Irvine Old Dominion Vermont
14 Northeastern Harvard Drake Georgia St
15 Radford S Dakota St Northern Kentucky Montana
16 Colgate Abilene Chr Texas So./Norfolk St Rider/FDU
Last 4 BYES Ohio St St John’s Seton Hall Indiana
Last 4 IN NC State Creighton Arizona St. TCU
1st 4 OUT Alabama Temple Clemson Furman
2nd 4 OUT Penn St Butler St Mary’s CA Nebraska

 

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/6/2019– Games through 3/5/2019

The projected field as of March 6, 2019.  Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  I will be updating the site daily through Selection Sunday.

.

1 Virginia Duke Gonzaga North Carolina
2 Tennessee Kentucky Michigan St Michigan
3 Houston Texas Tech Purdue Kansas
4 LSU Florida St Wisconsin Kansas St
5 Marquette Virginia Tech Cincinnati Buffalo
6 Villanova Iowa St Mississippi St Maryland
7 Auburn Wofford Nevada Louisville
8 UCF Baylor Iowa VCU
9 Texas Oklahoma Syracuse Ohio St
10 Washington Utah St Minnesota Mississippi
11 NC State Florida St John’s Alabama
12 Arizona St/Seton Hall Creighton/TCU Belmont Lipscomb
13 New Mexico St Old Dominion UC Irvine Vermont
14 Northeastern Harvard Georgia St Drake
15 Radford S Dakota St Montana Northern Kentucky
16 Colgate Sam Houston St Texas So./Norfolk St Rider/FDU
Last 4 BYES NC State Florida St John’s Alabama
Last 4 IN Arizona St. Creighton TCU Seton Hall
1st 4 OUT Indiana Temple Clemson Furman
2nd 4 OUT Georgetown Butler Penn St St Mary’s CA

NIT – Bracket Prediction 2018

1 St. Mary’s Marquette Baylor Syracuse
2 Arizona St. Oklahoma St. Notre Dame Middle Tennessee
3 W. Kentucky Penn St. Nebraska Mississippi St.
4 Utah Boise St. Oregon LSU
5 Maryland Washington Temple Stanford
6 South Carolina Boston College ULL Vermont
7 UC Davis Harvard Rider N Kentucky
8 Hampton Fla Gulf Coast SE Louisiana Wagner
Just missed: BYU  Georgia declined a bid
Colorado
Belmont
Old Dominion
Tulsa
UCF
Wyoming
Northeastern

Final Bracket Prediction (Cincinnati won AAC)

First four teams out: St. Mary’s, Marquette, Baylor, Syracuse

Next four out: Oklahoma St, Arizona St, MTSU, Notre Dame

Boston Atlanta Omaha Los Angeles
1 Villanova Virginia Kansas Xavier
2 Purdue Cincinnati Duke North Carolina
3 Tennessee Michigan Michigan St Arizona
4 West Virginia Kentucky Wichita St Gonzaga
5 Clemson Houston Auburn Texas Tech
6 Ohio St Florida Arkansas TCU
7 Seton Hall Miami FL Texas A&M Nevada
8 Rhode Island Loyola-Chicago Providence Kansas St.
9 Alabama Creighton Missouri NC State
10 St Bonaventure Butler Texas USC
11 Oklahoma/ Florida St. Va Tech/ Louisville UCLA New Mexico St
12 Davidson Murray St S Dakota St San Diego St
13 Buffalo UNC Greensboro Col Charleston Marshall
14 Bucknell Georgia St Montana SF Austin
15 Penn Lipscomb Wright St CS Fullerton
16 Iona UMBC Radford/           NC Central Long Island/ Texas Southern

Bracket Prediction (if Houston had won AAC)

First four teams out: St. Mary’s, Marquette, Baylor, Syracuse

Next four out: Oklahoma St, Arizona St, MTSU, Notre Dame

Boston Atlanta Omaha Los Angeles
1 Villanova Virginia Kansas Xavier
2 Purdue Michigan Duke North Carolina
3 Cincinnati Tennessee Michigan St Arizona
4 Kentucky Wichita St. Houston Gonzaga
5 Clemson W Virginia Auburn Texas Tech
6 Florida Ohio St. Arkansas TCU
7 Seton Hall Miami FL Texas A&M Nevada
8 Rhode Island Loyola-Chicago Providence Kansas St.
9 Alabama Creighton Missouri NC State
10 St Bonaventure Butler Texas USC
11 Oklahoma/ Florida St. Va Tech/ Louisville UCLA New Mexico St
12 Davidson Murray St S Dakota St San Diego St
13 Buffalo UNC Greensboro Col Charleston Marshall
14 Bucknell Georgia St Montana SF Austin
15 Penn Lipscomb Wright St CS Fullerton
16 Iona UMBC Radford/           NC Central Long Island/ Texas Southern

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/11/2018– Games through 3/10/2018

For full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index, click here.

The projected field as of March 11, 2018, Sunday morning (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  I will be updating the site again throughout the day.

1 Virginia Villanova Kansas Xavier
2 North Carolina Duke Tennessee Purdue
3 Cincinnati Michigan Michigan St Arizona
4 Wichita St Gonzaga West Virginia Houston
5 Kentucky Texas Tech Auburn Clemson
6 Florida Ohio St Arkansas TCU
7 Texas A&M Miami FL Seton Hall Nevada
8 Providence Kansas St Loyola-Chicago Rhode Island
9 Alabama Missouri Creighton Butler
10 NC State Texas St Bonaventure USC
11 UCLA Virginia Tech Louisville/         St. Mary’s. Oklahoma/ Florida St.
12 New Mexico St San Diego St S Dakota St Murray St
13 UNC Greensboro Buffalo Col Charleston Marshall
14 Montana Bucknell SF Austin Georgia St
15 Lipscomb Wright St Penn CS Fullerton
16 UMBC Iona Radford/           NC Central Long Island/ Texas Southern
Last 4 BYES St Bonaventure USC UCLA Virginia Tech
Last 4 IN Louisville Oklahoma Florida St. St. Mary’s
1st 4 OUT Marquette Baylor Syracuse Oklahoma St
2nd 4 OUT Arizona St MTSU Notre Dame Nebraska

A few notes on my projected field:

  • The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney.  Davidson would steal a bid (probably from St. Mary’s) if they won today.
  • There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/10/2018– Games through 3/9/2018

For full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index, click here

The projected field as of March 10, 2018 (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  I will be updating the site early Sunday and again at around 5:30pmET.

1 Virginia Villanova Kansas North Carolina
2 Xavier Duke Purdue Tennessee
3 Michigan Cincinnati Michigan St Wichita St
4 West Virginia Gonzaga Texas Tech Auburn
5 Arizona Clemson Kentucky Houston
6 Arkansas Florida Ohio St TCU
7 Texas A&M Miami FL Seton Hall Providence
8 Nevada Kansas St Loyola-Chicago Alabama
9 St Bonaventure Rhode Island USC Missouri
10 Butler Texas Creighton NC State
11 UCLA Virginia Tech Louisville/ Florida St. Oklahoma/        St. Mary’s
12 New Mexico St WKU San Diego St S Dakota St
13 Murray St UNC Greensboro Buffalo Vermont
14 Col Charleston ULL Montana Bucknell
15 SF Austin Lipscomb Wright St UC Irvine
16 Penn Iona Radford/      Texas Southern Long Island/ Hampton
Last 4 BYES Creighton NC State UCLA Virginia Tech
Last 4 IN Louisville Oklahoma St. Mary’s Florida St.
1st 4 OUT Marquette Baylor Syracuse MTSU
2nd 4 OUT Oklahoma St Arizona St Notre Dame Nebraska

A few notes on my projected field:

  • The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney (for example, right now I have Stephen F. Austin ahead of SE Louisiana even though SE Louisiana had the better conference record in the Southland.)
  • This is based on the selection being today, not on what is projected to occur between now and Sunday.
  • There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.