Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/17/2019– Games through 3/16/2019 (not final season)

The projected field as of the morning of March 17, 2019.  Assumed automatic bids are the eligible team from each conference that is highest in the index.  Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line.  This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction.  This reflects some updates to my formula that I made overnight that I feel will more closely mimic the selection committee’s decisions based on the NET rating’s replacement of the RPI (I was already using the NET rating, but the weightings of various other metrics were adjusted).

I will be posting an updated bracket projection in the next few hours that will reflect changes for today’s games.

1 Virginia Duke North Carolina Tennessee
2 Michigan St Gonzaga Kentucky Michigan
3 Houston Texas Tech Florida St Purdue
4 LSU Virginia Tech Kansas Wisconsin
5 Auburn Wofford Buffalo Kansas St
6 Iowa St Mississippi St Villanova Cincinnati
7 Marquette Louisville Maryland Nevada
8 Utah St Florida UCF Iowa
9 NC State Oklahoma Syracuse Baylor
10 VCU St Mary’s CA Washington Minnesota
11 Mississippi Seton Hall Oregon TCU/Belmont
12 New Mexico St Murray St Arizona St./Temple Liberty
13 UC Irvine Northeastern Vermont Yale
14 Old Dominion St Louis Georgia St Northern Kentucky
15 Montana Colgate Abilene Chr Bradley
16 Gardner Webb Iona PV A&M/NC Central FDU/N. Dakota St.
Last 4 BYES Washington Minnesota Mississippi Seton Hall
Last 4 IN TCU Belmont Arizona St Temple
1st 4 OUT UNC Greensboro Texas Ohio St Alabama
2nd 4 OUT Clemson Creighton St John’s Indiana
3rd 4 OUT Furman Nebraska Xavier Lipscomb

 

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