| 1 | UNC Greensboro |
| 1 | Texas |
| 1 | Ohio St |
| 1 | Alabama |
| 2 | Clemson |
| 2 | Nebraska |
| 2 | Indiana |
| 2 | Creighton |
| 3 | Furman |
| 3 | Penn St |
| 3 | Lipscomb |
| 3 | St John’s |
| 4 | Memphis |
| 4 | Xavier |
| 4 | Toledo |
| 4 | Providence |
| 5 | Arkansas |
| 5 | Georgetown |
| 5 | South Carolina |
| 5 | Butler |
| 6 | Davidson |
| 6 | Dayton |
| 6 | Wichita St |
| 6 | Hofstra |
| 7 | Harvard |
| 7 | S Dakota St |
| 7 | Loyola-Chicago |
| 7 | Wright St |
| 8 | Sam Houston St |
| 8 | Campbell |
| 8 | St Francis PA |
| 8 | Norfolk St |
Just missed:
| Colorado |
| Fresno St |
| BYU |
| ETSU |
The final projected bracket based on all games through Sunday March 18, 2019:
| Washington DC | Anaheim | Louisville | Kansas City | |
| 1 | Virginia | Gonzaga | Duke | North Carolina |
| 2 | Michigan | Michigan St. | Tennessee | Kentucky |
| 3 | Texas Tech | Florida St | Purdue | Houston |
| 4 | LSU | Auburn | Kansas | Wisconsin |
| 5 | Buffalo | Virginia Tech | Villanova | Kansas St |
| 6 | Wofford | Cincinnati | Mississippi St | Iowa St |
| 7 | Louisville | Nevada | Marquette | Maryland |
| 8 | Iowa | Utah St | Baylor | UCF |
| 9 | Syracuse | Seton Hall | Florida | Minnesota |
| 10 | Mississippi | Washington | Oklahoma | VCU |
| 11 | St Mary’s CA | TCU/Belmont | NC State | Arizona St./Temple |
| 12 | Liberty | New Mexico St | Murray St | Oregon |
| 13 | Northeastern | UC Irvine | Vermont | Old Dominion |
| 14 | Yale | Northern Kentucky | Georgia St | St Louis |
| 15 | Colgate | Montana | Bradley | Abilene Chr |
| 16 | Iona | FDU/N. Dakota St. | Gardner Webb | PV A&M/NC Central |
| LAST 4 IN: | TCU | Belmont | Temple | Arizona St. |
| 1st 4 OUT | UNC Greensboro | Texas | Ohio St | Alabama |
| 2nd 4 OUT | Clemson | Creighton | St John’s | Indiana |
| 3rd 4 OUT | Furman | Nebraska | Xavier | Lipscomb |
The projected field as of the morning of March 17, 2019. Assumed automatic bids are the eligible team from each conference that is highest in the index. Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line. This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction. This reflects some updates to my formula that I made overnight that I feel will more closely mimic the selection committee’s decisions based on the NET rating’s replacement of the RPI (I was already using the NET rating, but the weightings of various other metrics were adjusted).
I will be posting an updated bracket projection in the next few hours that will reflect changes for today’s games.
| 1 | Virginia | Duke | North Carolina | Tennessee |
| 2 | Michigan St | Gonzaga | Kentucky | Michigan |
| 3 | Houston | Texas Tech | Florida St | Purdue |
| 4 | LSU | Virginia Tech | Kansas | Wisconsin |
| 5 | Auburn | Wofford | Buffalo | Kansas St |
| 6 | Iowa St | Mississippi St | Villanova | Cincinnati |
| 7 | Marquette | Louisville | Maryland | Nevada |
| 8 | Utah St | Florida | UCF | Iowa |
| 9 | NC State | Oklahoma | Syracuse | Baylor |
| 10 | VCU | St Mary’s CA | Washington | Minnesota |
| 11 | Mississippi | Seton Hall | Oregon | TCU/Belmont |
| 12 | New Mexico St | Murray St | Arizona St./Temple | Liberty |
| 13 | UC Irvine | Northeastern | Vermont | Yale |
| 14 | Old Dominion | St Louis | Georgia St | Northern Kentucky |
| 15 | Montana | Colgate | Abilene Chr | Bradley |
| 16 | Gardner Webb | Iona | PV A&M/NC Central | FDU/N. Dakota St. |
| Last 4 BYES | Washington | Minnesota | Mississippi | Seton Hall |
| Last 4 IN | TCU | Belmont | Arizona St | Temple |
| 1st 4 OUT | UNC Greensboro | Texas | Ohio St | Alabama |
| 2nd 4 OUT | Clemson | Creighton | St John’s | Indiana |
| 3rd 4 OUT | Furman | Nebraska | Xavier | Lipscomb |
The projected field as of March 16, 2019. Assumed automatic bids are the eligible team from each conference that is highest in the index. Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line. This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction.
| 1 | Virginia | Duke | North Carolina | Kentucky |
| 2 | Michigan St | Tennessee | Houston | Michigan |
| 3 | Gonzaga | Florida St | Kansas | Texas Tech |
| 4 | LSU | Purdue | Wisconsin | Kansas St |
| 5 | Auburn | Virginia Tech | Buffalo | Wofford |
| 6 | Villanova | Mississippi St | Iowa St | Marquette |
| 7 | Cincinnati | Maryland | Louisville | Nevada |
| 8 | UCF | Utah St | Florida | VCU |
| 9 | Seton Hall | Iowa | Minnesota | Oklahoma |
| 10 | Washington | Baylor | Syracuse | Mississippi |
| 11 | Texas | NC State | St Mary’s CA | Arizona St/TCU |
| 12 | Ohio St/Belmont | New Mexico St | Murray St | Liberty |
| 13 | UC Irvine | Davidson | Northeastern | Old Dominion |
| 14 | Vermont | Yale | Georgia St | Montana |
| 15 | Northern Kentucky | Bradley | Colgate | Abilene Chr |
| 16 | Gardner Webb | TX Southern | Iona/Norfolk St | FDU/N. Dakota St. |
| Last 4 BYES | Mississippi | Texas | NC State | St Mary’s CA |
| Last 4 IN | Arizona St. | TCU | Ohio St. | Belmont |
| 1st 4 OUT | Nebraska | Indiana | Creighton | Clemson |
| 2nd 4 OUT | Temple | Alabama | Oregon | St John’s |
The projected field as of March 15, 2019. Assumed automatic bids are the eligible team from each conference that is highest in the index. Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line. This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction.
| 1 | Virginia | Duke | North Carolina | Kentucky |
| 2 | Michigan St | Tennessee | Gonzaga | Michigan |
| 3 | Houston | LSU | Texas Tech | Purdue |
| 4 | Florida St | Kansas | Kansas St | Wisconsin |
| 5 | Buffalo | Virginia Tech | Auburn | Mississippi St |
| 6 | Wofford | Villanova | Marquette | Nevada |
| 7 | Maryland | Cincinnati | Iowa St | Louisville |
| 8 | UCF | VCU | Iowa | Oklahoma |
| 9 | Utah St | Baylor | Mississippi | NC State |
| 10 | Seton Hall | Florida | Washington | Syracuse |
| 11 | Texas | Minnesota | Arizona St | St Mary’s CA |
| 12 | TCU/Creighton | Temple/Ohio St. | New Mexico St | Murray St |
| 13 | Liberty | UC Irvine | Northeastern | Old Dominion |
| 14 | Vermont | Yale | Georgia St | Northern Kentucky |
| 15 | Montana | Colgate | Bradley | Abilene Chr |
| 16 | Gardner Webb | TX Southern | Iona/Norfolk St | FDU/N. Dakota St. |
| Last 4 BYES | Syracuse | Texas | Minnesota | Arizona St |
| Last 4 IN | TCU | Temple | Ohio St. | Creighton |
| 1st 4 OUT | Nebraska | Belmont | Indiana | Clemson |
| 2nd 4 OUT | Alabama | St John’s | Furman | Oregon |
The projected field as of March 14, 2019. Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index. Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line. This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction.
| 1 | Virginia | Duke | North Carolina | Kentucky |
| 2 | Michigan St | Tennessee | Gonzaga | Houston |
| 3 | Michigan | Texas Tech | LSU | Purdue |
| 4 | Kansas | Florida St | Wisconsin | Kansas St |
| 5 | Virginia Tech | Wofford | Auburn | Buffalo |
| 6 | Maryland | Mississippi St | Villanova | Nevada |
| 7 | Marquette | Louisville | Cincinnati | UCF |
| 8 | Iowa St | VCU | Baylor | Iowa |
| 9 | Mississippi | Oklahoma | Utah St | Syracuse |
| 10 | NC State | Texas | Washington | TCU |
| 11 | Seton Hall | Temple | Minnesota | Florida/Indiana |
| 12 | St Mary’s CA | Creighton/ Arizona St. | New Mexico St | Murray St |
| 13 | Liberty | UC Irvine | Northeastern | Vermont |
| 14 | Old Dominion | Yale | Georgia St | Northern Kentucky |
| 15 | Montana | Colgate | Bradley | Abilene Chr |
| 16 | Gardner Webb | TX Southern | Iona/Norfolk St | FDU/ N. Dakota St. |
| Last 4 BYES | TCU | Seton Hall | Temple | Minnesota |
| Last 4 IN | Florida | Indiana | Creighton | Arizona St. |
| 1st 4 OUT | St John’s | Ohio St | Belmont | Clemson |
| 2nd 4 OUT | Furman | Nebraska | Alabama | Penn St |
The projected field as of March 13, 2019. Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index. Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line. This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction.
| 1 | Virginia | Duke | North Carolina | Kentucky |
| 2 | Michigan St | Tennessee | Gonzaga | Houston |
| 3 | Michigan | Texas Tech | LSU | Purdue |
| 4 | Kansas | Florida St | Wisconsin | Kansas St |
| 5 | Virginia Tech | Wofford | Auburn | Buffalo |
| 6 | Maryland | Mississippi St | Villanova | Nevada |
| 7 | Marquette | Cincinnati | Louisville | Iowa St |
| 8 | UCF | VCU | Baylor | Oklahoma |
| 9 | Iowa | Mississippi | Utah St | Texas |
| 10 | Washington | Syracuse | Florida | Seton Hall |
| 11 | Temple | Minnesota | NC State | TCU/Arizona St |
| 12 | St Mary’s CA | Indiana/Creighton | New Mexico St | Murray St |
| 13 | Liberty | UC Irvine | Northeastern | Vermont |
| 14 | Old Dominion | Yale | Georgia St | Northern Kentucky |
| 15 | Montana | Bradley | Colgate | Abilene Chr |
| 16 | Gardner Webb | TX Southern | Iona/Norfolk St | FDU/N. Dakota St. |
| Last 4 BYES | Seton Hall | Temple | Minnesota | NC State |
| Last 4 IN | TCU | Arizona St. | Indiana | Creighton |
| 1st 4 OUT | Clemson | Ohio St | Belmont | St John’s |
| 2nd 4 OUT | Furman | Alabama | Penn St | Georgetown |
The projected field as of March 12, 2019. Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index. Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line (for example, Gonzaga is currently ranked 5th). This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction.
| 1 | Virginia | Duke | North Carolina | Kentucky |
| 2 | Gonzaga | Michigan St | Tennessee | Michigan |
| 3 | Houston | Texas Tech | LSU | Purdue |
| 4 | Kansas | Florida St | Wisconsin | Kansas St |
| 5 | Virginia Tech | Buffalo | Auburn | Wofford |
| 6 | Maryland | Mississippi St | Villanova | Nevada |
| 7 | Marquette | Cincinnati | Louisville | Iowa St |
| 8 | UCF | VCU | Baylor | Oklahoma |
| 9 | Mississippi | Iowa | Utah St | Washington |
| 10 | Texas | Syracuse | Florida | Seton Hall |
| 11 | Minnesota | NC State | TCU | Temple |
| 12 | Arizona St/Creighton | Clemson/Indiana | New Mexico St | Murray St |
| 13 | Liberty | UC Irvine | Old Dominion | Vermont |
| 14 | Northeastern | Yale | Georgia St | Montana |
| 15 | Northern Kentucky | Bradley | Colgate | Abilene Chr |
| 16 | NE Omaha | Gardner Webb | Texas So./Norfolk St | Iona/FDU |
| Last 4 BYES | Minnesota | NC State | TCU | Temple |
| Last 4 IN | Arizona St. | Clemson | Indiana | Creighton |
| 1st 4 OUT | Ohio St | Belmont | St John’s | Alabama |
| 2nd 4 OUT | Furman | Penn St | Nebraska | St Mary’s CA |
The projected field as of March 11, 2019. Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index. Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line (for example, Gonzaga is currently ranked 5th). This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction.
| 1 | Virginia | Duke | North Carolina | Kentucky |
| 2 | Gonzaga | Michigan St | Tennessee | Michigan |
| 3 | Houston | Texas Tech | LSU | Purdue |
| 4 | Florida St | Kansas | Kansas St | Wisconsin |
| 5 | Virginia Tech | Buffalo | Maryland | Auburn |
| 6 | Mississippi St | Villanova | Wofford | Marquette |
| 7 | Nevada | Louisville | Iowa St | Cincinnati |
| 8 | UCF | VCU | Baylor | Iowa |
| 9 | Mississippi | Oklahoma | Utah St | Texas |
| 10 | Washington | Syracuse | NC State | Minnesota |
| 11 | Seton Hall | TCU | Florida | Clemson |
| 12 | Temple/Arizona St | Indiana/Creighton | New Mexico St | Murray St |
| 13 | Liberty | UC Irvine | Hofstra | Old Dominion |
| 14 | Vermont | Yale | Georgia St | Montana |
| 15 | Northern Kentucky | Bradley | Colgate | Abilene Chr |
| 16 | Gardner Webb | Omaha | Texas So./Norfolk St | Iona/FDU |
| Last 4 BYES | Seton Hall | TCU | Florida | Clemson |
| Last 4 IN | Temple | Indiana | Creighton | Arizona St. |
| 1st 4 OUT | Ohio St | St John’s | Belmont | Furman |
| 2nd 4 OUT | UNC Greensboro | Penn St | Nebraska | Georgetown |
The projected field as of March 10, 2019. Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index. I will be updating the site daily through Selection Sunday and providing additional analysis and details on the rankings.
| 1 | Virginia | Duke | North Carolina | Kentucky |
| 2 | Gonzaga | Michigan St | Tennessee | Michigan |
| 3 | Texas Tech | Houston | LSU | Purdue |
| 4 | Kansas | Florida St | Kansas St | Wisconsin |
| 5 | Virginia Tech | Auburn | Buffalo | Cincinnati |
| 6 | Mississippi St | Maryland | Villanova | Marquette |
| 7 | Nevada | Wofford | Louisville | Iowa St |
| 8 | UCF | VCU | Iowa | Baylor |
| 9 | Oklahoma | Mississippi | Utah St | Texas |
| 10 | Washington | Syracuse | Seton Hall | Florida |
| 11 | Temple | NC State | Minnesota | TCU |
| 12 | Clemson/Arizona St | Ohio St/Creighton | Lipscomb | New Mexico St |
| 13 | Murray St | UC Irvine | Old Dominion | Vermont |
| 14 | Northeastern | Yale | Georgia St | Radford |
| 15 | Montana | Northern Kentucky | Colgate | Bradley |
| 16 | Abilene Chr | NE Omaha | Texas So./Norfolk St | FDU/Iona |
| Last 4 BYES | Temple | NC State | Minnesota | TCU |
| Last 4 IN | Clemson | Ohio St. | Creighton | Arizona St. |
| 1st 4 OUT | Indiana | Belmont | St John’s | Furman |
| 2nd 4 OUT | Alabama | Georgetown | Penn St | Xavier |
