Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/9/2018– Games through 3/8/2018

For full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index, click here.

The projected field as of March 9, 2018 (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  It’s very close for the last few spots, unlike 2017 when there was a gap after the last at large team, and it was much clearer who should be in.

1 Virginia Villanova Xavier Duke
2 Kansas North Carolina Purdue Michigan
3 Tennessee Michigan St Cincinnati Auburn
4 Wichita St Texas Tech Gonzaga West Virginia
5 Clemson Arizona Florida Kentucky
6 Houston TCU Ohio St Texas A&M
7 Arkansas Nevada Miami FL Kansas St
8 Seton Hall Loyola-Chicago St Bonaventure Butler
9 Providence UCLA Rhode Island USC
10 Missouri Creighton NC State Virginia Tech
11 Oklahoma Texas Alabama Louisville/         St. Mary’s
12 Florida St./ Marquette S Dakota St New Mexico St WKU
13 Murray St UNC Greensboro Col Charleston Buffalo
14 Vermont ULL Montana Bucknell
15 UC Santa Barbara Lipscomb SF Austin Wright St
16 Penn Iona Radford/   Prairie View Long Island/ Hampton
Last 4 BYES Virginia Tech Oklahoma Texas Alabama
Last 4 IN Louisville St. Mary’s Florida St. Marquette
1st 4 OUT Baylor MTSU Syracuse Oklahoma St
2nd 4 OUT Notre Dame Arizona St Georgia Nebraska

A few notes on my projected field:

  • The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney (for example, right now I have Stephen F. Austin ahead of Nicholls St. even though Nicholls is the #1 seed in the Southland.)
  • This is based on the selection being today, not on what is projected to occur between now and Selection Sunday.
  • There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.


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