Regan NCAA Tournament Index 3/9/2020 – games through 3/8/2020

1 Kansas Baylor Gonzaga Florida St
2 San Diego St Dayton Creighton Duke
3 Villanova Michigan St Maryland Oregon
4 Kentucky Seton Hall Louisville BYU
5 Ohio St Wisconsin Butler Auburn
6 Houston West Virginia Virginia Michigan
7 St Mary’s CA Illinois Colorado Iowa
8 Penn St Providence LSU Arizona
9 Florida Marquette Oklahoma Rutgers
10 ETSU USC Utah St Wichita St
11 Cincinnati Texas Tech Xavier Arizona St/Purdue
12 Richmond/Texas SF Austin Yale New Mexico St
13 Vermont Akron Liberty Louisiana Tech
14 Hofstra Colgate Belmont N Colorado
15 N Dakota St UC Irvine Bradley Winthrop
16 Texas St Wright St Siena/St. Fran (PA) PV A&M/NC Central
Last 4 BYES Wichita St Cincinnati Texas Tech Xavier
Last 4 IN Arizona St. Purdue Richmond Texas
1st 4 OUT NC State Indiana Stanford Memphis
2nd 4 OUT Mississippi St Oklahoma St Georgia Tech UCLA
3rd 4 OUT Minnesota Arkansas Connecticut South Carolina

Regan NCAA Tournament Index 3/7/2020

Kansas Baylor San Diego St Gonzaga
Florida St Dayton Duke Creighton
Villanova Seton Hall Michigan St Louisville
Maryland Oregon Kentucky BYU
Ohio St Wisconsin Butler Michigan
Houston Penn St Virginia Auburn
Colorado West Virginia Iowa St Mary’s CA
Arizona Florida Illinois Marquette
Providence LSU Cincinnati Texas Tech
Xavier Purdue Rutgers ETSU
USC Oklahoma Texas Indiana/Wichita St
Richmond/Stanford Yale SF Austin Vermont
New Mexico St Akron Liberty Hofstra
UC Irvine Louisiana Tech Colgate Belmont
N Colorado N Dakota St Texas St Wright St
Winthrop Bradley Siena/St. Fran (PA) PV A&M/NC Central

Regan NCAA Tournament Index March 5, 2020

1 Kansas Baylor San Diego St Gonzaga
2 Florida St Dayton Duke Seton Hall
3 Creighton Michigan St Maryland Louisville
4 Villanova Kentucky Oregon BYU
5 Ohio St Wisconsin Auburn Houston
6 Penn St Butler Michigan Virginia
7 Colorado Iowa West Virginia St Mary’s CA
8 Illinois Arizona LSU Marquette
9 Xavier Providence Florida Texas Tech
10 Oklahoma Purdue USC Cincinnati
11 Arizona St ETSU Wichita St Rutgers/Texas
12 Stanford/Indiana Northern Iowa Yale SF Austin
13 Vermont New Mexico St Akron Liberty
14 Hofstra UC Irvine North Texas N Dakota St
15 Belmont Colgate E Washington Texas St
16 Wright St Winthrop Siena/St. Fran (PA) PV A&M/NC Central
Last 4 BYES USC Cincinnati Arizona St Wichita St
Last 4 IN Rutgers Texas Stanford Indiana
1st 4 OUT Utah St Richmond NC State Mississippi St
2nd 4 OUT South Carolina Rhode Island UCLA Minnesota
3rd 4 OUT Tennessee Memphis Arkansas Clemson

2019 NIT Prediction

1 UNC Greensboro
1 Texas
1 Ohio St
1 Alabama
2 Clemson
2 Nebraska
2 Indiana
2 Creighton
3 Furman
3 Penn St
3 Lipscomb
3 St John’s
4 Memphis
4 Xavier
4 Toledo
4 Providence
5 Arkansas
5 Georgetown
5 South Carolina
5 Butler
6 Davidson
6 Dayton
6 Wichita St
6 Hofstra
7 Harvard
7 S Dakota St
7 Loyola-Chicago
7 Wright St
8 Sam Houston St
8 Campbell
8 St Francis PA
8 Norfolk St

Just missed:

Colorado
Fresno St
BYU
ETSU

Final NCAA Bracket Projection – 5:30ET Sunday March 18, 2019

The final projected bracket based on all games through Sunday March 18, 2019:

Washington DC Anaheim Louisville Kansas City
1 Virginia Gonzaga Duke North Carolina
2 Michigan Michigan St. Tennessee Kentucky
3 Texas Tech Florida St Purdue Houston
4 LSU Auburn Kansas Wisconsin
5 Buffalo Virginia Tech Villanova Kansas St
6 Wofford Cincinnati Mississippi St Iowa St
7 Louisville Nevada Marquette Maryland
8 Iowa Utah St Baylor UCF
9 Syracuse Seton Hall Florida Minnesota
10 Mississippi Washington Oklahoma VCU
11 St Mary’s CA TCU/Belmont NC State Arizona St./Temple
12 Liberty New Mexico St Murray St Oregon
13 Northeastern UC Irvine Vermont Old Dominion
14 Yale Northern Kentucky Georgia St St Louis
15 Colgate Montana Bradley Abilene Chr
16 Iona FDU/N. Dakota St. Gardner Webb PV A&M/NC Central
LAST 4 IN: TCU Belmont Temple Arizona St.
1st 4 OUT UNC Greensboro Texas Ohio St Alabama
2nd 4 OUT Clemson Creighton St John’s Indiana
3rd 4 OUT Furman Nebraska Xavier Lipscomb

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/17/2019– Games through 3/16/2019 (not final season)

The projected field as of the morning of March 17, 2019.  Assumed automatic bids are the eligible team from each conference that is highest in the index.  Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line.  This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction.  This reflects some updates to my formula that I made overnight that I feel will more closely mimic the selection committee’s decisions based on the NET rating’s replacement of the RPI (I was already using the NET rating, but the weightings of various other metrics were adjusted).

I will be posting an updated bracket projection in the next few hours that will reflect changes for today’s games.

1 Virginia Duke North Carolina Tennessee
2 Michigan St Gonzaga Kentucky Michigan
3 Houston Texas Tech Florida St Purdue
4 LSU Virginia Tech Kansas Wisconsin
5 Auburn Wofford Buffalo Kansas St
6 Iowa St Mississippi St Villanova Cincinnati
7 Marquette Louisville Maryland Nevada
8 Utah St Florida UCF Iowa
9 NC State Oklahoma Syracuse Baylor
10 VCU St Mary’s CA Washington Minnesota
11 Mississippi Seton Hall Oregon TCU/Belmont
12 New Mexico St Murray St Arizona St./Temple Liberty
13 UC Irvine Northeastern Vermont Yale
14 Old Dominion St Louis Georgia St Northern Kentucky
15 Montana Colgate Abilene Chr Bradley
16 Gardner Webb Iona PV A&M/NC Central FDU/N. Dakota St.
Last 4 BYES Washington Minnesota Mississippi Seton Hall
Last 4 IN TCU Belmont Arizona St Temple
1st 4 OUT UNC Greensboro Texas Ohio St Alabama
2nd 4 OUT Clemson Creighton St John’s Indiana
3rd 4 OUT Furman Nebraska Xavier Lipscomb

 

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/16/2019– Games through 3/15/2019

The projected field as of March 16, 2019.  Assumed automatic bids are the eligible team from each conference that is highest in the index.  Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line.  This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction.

1 Virginia Duke North Carolina Kentucky
2 Michigan St Tennessee Houston Michigan
3 Gonzaga Florida St Kansas Texas Tech
4 LSU Purdue Wisconsin Kansas St
5 Auburn Virginia Tech Buffalo Wofford
6 Villanova Mississippi St Iowa St Marquette
7 Cincinnati Maryland Louisville Nevada
8 UCF Utah St Florida VCU
9 Seton Hall Iowa Minnesota Oklahoma
10 Washington Baylor Syracuse Mississippi
11 Texas NC State St Mary’s CA Arizona St/TCU
12 Ohio St/Belmont New Mexico St Murray St Liberty
13 UC Irvine Davidson Northeastern Old Dominion
14 Vermont Yale Georgia St Montana
15 Northern Kentucky Bradley Colgate Abilene Chr
16 Gardner Webb TX Southern Iona/Norfolk St FDU/N. Dakota St.
Last 4 BYES Mississippi Texas NC State St Mary’s CA
Last 4 IN Arizona St. TCU Ohio St. Belmont
1st 4 OUT Nebraska Indiana Creighton Clemson
2nd 4 OUT Temple Alabama Oregon St John’s

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/15/2019– Games through 3/14/2019

The projected field as of March 15, 2019.  Assumed automatic bids are the eligible team from each conference that is highest in the index.  Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line.  This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction.

1 Virginia Duke North Carolina Kentucky
2 Michigan St Tennessee Gonzaga Michigan
3 Houston LSU Texas Tech Purdue
4 Florida St Kansas Kansas St Wisconsin
5 Buffalo Virginia Tech Auburn Mississippi St
6 Wofford Villanova Marquette Nevada
7 Maryland Cincinnati Iowa St Louisville
8 UCF VCU Iowa Oklahoma
9 Utah St Baylor Mississippi NC State
10 Seton Hall Florida Washington Syracuse
11 Texas Minnesota Arizona St St Mary’s CA
12 TCU/Creighton Temple/Ohio St. New Mexico St Murray St
13 Liberty UC Irvine Northeastern Old Dominion
14 Vermont Yale Georgia St Northern Kentucky
15 Montana Colgate Bradley Abilene Chr
16 Gardner Webb TX Southern Iona/Norfolk St FDU/N. Dakota St.
Last 4 BYES Syracuse Texas Minnesota Arizona St
Last 4 IN TCU Temple Ohio St. Creighton
1st 4 OUT Nebraska Belmont Indiana Clemson
2nd 4 OUT Alabama St John’s Furman Oregon

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/14/2019– Games through 3/13/2019

The projected field as of March 14, 2019.  Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line.  This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction.

1 Virginia Duke North Carolina Kentucky
2 Michigan St Tennessee Gonzaga Houston
3 Michigan Texas Tech LSU Purdue
4 Kansas Florida St Wisconsin Kansas St
5 Virginia Tech Wofford Auburn Buffalo
6 Maryland Mississippi St Villanova Nevada
7 Marquette Louisville Cincinnati UCF
8 Iowa St VCU Baylor Iowa
9 Mississippi Oklahoma Utah St Syracuse
10 NC State Texas Washington TCU
11 Seton Hall Temple Minnesota Florida/Indiana
12 St Mary’s CA Creighton/ Arizona St. New Mexico St Murray St
13 Liberty UC Irvine Northeastern Vermont
14 Old Dominion Yale Georgia St Northern Kentucky
15 Montana Colgate Bradley Abilene Chr
16 Gardner Webb TX Southern Iona/Norfolk St FDU/ N. Dakota St.
Last 4 BYES TCU Seton Hall Temple Minnesota
Last 4 IN Florida Indiana Creighton Arizona St.
1st 4 OUT St John’s Ohio St Belmont Clemson
2nd 4 OUT Furman Nebraska Alabama Penn St

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/13/2019– Games through 3/12/2019

The projected field as of March 13, 2019.  Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  Team are listed in order from left to right on each seed line.  This is not a bracket prediction, only a field and seed prediction.

1 Virginia Duke North Carolina Kentucky
2 Michigan St Tennessee Gonzaga Houston
3 Michigan Texas Tech LSU Purdue
4 Kansas Florida St Wisconsin Kansas St
5 Virginia Tech Wofford Auburn Buffalo
6 Maryland Mississippi St Villanova Nevada
7 Marquette Cincinnati Louisville Iowa St
8 UCF VCU Baylor Oklahoma
9 Iowa Mississippi Utah St Texas
10 Washington Syracuse Florida Seton Hall
11 Temple Minnesota NC State TCU/Arizona St
12 St Mary’s CA Indiana/Creighton New Mexico St Murray St
13 Liberty UC Irvine Northeastern Vermont
14 Old Dominion Yale Georgia St Northern Kentucky
15 Montana Bradley Colgate Abilene Chr
16 Gardner Webb TX Southern Iona/Norfolk St FDU/N. Dakota St.
Last 4 BYES Seton Hall Temple Minnesota NC State
Last 4 IN TCU Arizona St. Indiana Creighton
1st 4 OUT Clemson Ohio St Belmont St John’s
2nd 4 OUT Furman Alabama Penn St Georgetown