2023 NIT Projection

The 2023 NIT will again feature 32 teams. 11 regular season conference champions earned auto bids and there will be 21 at large teams. Here is my projected field along with some notes:

1 Oklahoma St 18-15 1 Rutgers 19-14 1 Clemson 23-10 1 North Carolina 20-13

2 North Texas 24-7 2 Oregon 19-14 2 Vanderbilt 20-14 2 Michigan 17-15

3 New Mexico 21-11 3 Wisconsin 17-14 3 Utah Valley 22-8 3 UAB 24-9

4 Santa Clara 22-9 4 Texas Tech 16-16 4 Seton Hall 16-15 4 Sam Houston St 21-7

5 Villanova 17-16 5 Southern Miss 22-7 5 Virginia Tech 19-14 1 Toledo 26-7

6 Florida 16-16 6 Cincinnati 20-12 6 Liberty 23-8 6 Nebraska 16-16

7 Hofstra 23-9 7 Bradley 24-9 7 Yale 19-8 7 UC Irvine 21-11

8 E Washington 21-10 8 Youngstown St 22-9 8 Morehead St 17-11 8 Alcorn St 18-13

I excluded a few teams that were good enough to make the field but have losing record. There is no rule against teams with losing records being in the field, however it has not happened in recent history that I can find. The excluded teams are:

Oklahoma (15-17) and Ohio St (16-19)

Other teams that just missed the field, and could squeak in:

Marshall 23 8 Washington St 17 16 Colorado 17 16 St Louis 20 12 San Jose St 19 13 Dayton 22 12 Tulane 20 11 Wake Forest 19 14 UCF 18 14 UNLV 18 13 Loy Marymount 18 12 St John’s 18 15 Utah 17 15 BYU 17 15 S Illinois 22 10 Fordham 25 8 San Francisco 19 14 Southern Utah 18 12 Temple 16 16 Belmont 20 11 James Madison 19 11 Washington 16 16 MTSU 17 14 Akron 20 11 UNC Wilmington 22 10

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Final S-Curve as of 5:45pm ET Selection Sunday 3/12/2023

1 Alabama 2 Houston 3 Purdue 4 Kansas 5 UCLA 6 Texas 7 Arizona 8 Marquette 9 Gonzaga 10 Baylor 11 Connecticut 12 Kansas St 13 Xavier 14 Tennessee 15 Duke 16 San Diego St 17 Virginia 18 Indiana 19 Texas A&M 20 St Mary’s CA 21 Iowa St 22 Miami FL 23 TCU 24 Kentucky 25 Creighton 26 FL Atlantic 27 Missouri 28 Memphis 29 Michigan St 30 Northwestern 31 West Virginia 32 Maryland 33 Arkansas 34 Utah St 35 Boise St 36 Penn St 37 Iowa 38 Illinois 39 Auburn 40 USC 41 NC State 42 Providence 43 Mississippi St 44 Nevada 45 Rutgers 46 VCU 47 Arizona St 48 Col Charleston 49 Drake 50 Oral Roberts 51 Kent 52 Iona 53 Louisiana 54 Furman 55 Grand Canyon 56 Kennesaw 57 UC Santa Barbara 58 Princeton 59 Montana St 60 UNC Asheville 61 Colgate 62 Vermont 63 Northern Kentucky 64 Howard 65 TAM C. Christi 66 SE Missouri St 67 F Dickinson 68 Tx Southern

F4 OUT: Oklahoma St, Clemson, UNC, Pittsburgh

N4 OUT: N Texas, Oregon, Vanderbilt, Michigan

NIT Projection to follow

S-Curve as of 2:15pm ET Selection Sunday 3/12/2023

1 Houston 2 Alabama 3 Kansas 4 Purdue 5 UCLA 6 Texas 7 Gonzaga 8 Arizona 9 Marquette 10 Baylor 11 Connecticut 12 Xavier 13 Kansas St 14 San Diego St 15 Duke 16 Tennessee 17 Virginia 18 Texas A&M 19 Indiana 20 St Mary’s CA 21 Miami FL 22 Iowa St 23 TCU 24 FL Atlantic 25 Creighton 26 Kentucky 27 Memphis 28 Missouri 29 Michigan St 30 Northwestern 31 Utah St 32 West Virginia 33 Boise St 34 Maryland 35 Arkansas 36 Penn St 37 Auburn 38 Illinois 39 Iowa 40 USC 41 NC State 42 Providence 43 Mississippi St 44 Nevada 45 Rutgers 46 Oklahoma St 47 VCU 48 Col Charleston 49 Drake 50 Oral Roberts 51 Kent 52 Iona 53 Louisiana 54 Furman 55 Kennesaw 56 Grand Canyon 57 UC Santa Barbara 58 Montana St 59 Princeton 60 Colgate 61 UNC Asheville 62 Vermont 63 Northern Kentucky 64 TAM C. Christi 65 Howard 66 SE Missouri St 67 F Dickinson 68 TX Southern

First Four Out: Clemson, UNC, Arizona St, N Texas

Next Four Out: Vanderbilt, Pittsburgh, Oregon, Michigan

S-Curve as of 5:00pm ET Saturday 3/11/2023

S Curve 1 Alabama 2 Houston 3 Kansas 4 Purdue 5 UCLA 6 Gonzaga 7 Texas 8 Marquette 9 Arizona 10 Connecticut 11 Xavier 12 Baylor 13 San Diego St. 14 Virginia 15 Duke 16 Tennessee 17 St. Mary’s 18 Texas A&M 19 Kansas St 20 Indiana 21 Utah St 22 Miami Fla 23 Florida Atlantic 24 Memphis 25 Creighton 26 Iowa St 27 TCU 28 Kentucky 29 Missouri 30 Boise St 31 Michigan St 32 West Virginia 33 Northwestern 34 Maryland 35 Arkansas 36 Penn St. 37 Auburn 38 Illinois 39 Iowa 40 NC State 41 USC 42 Nevada 43 Oklahoma St 44 Providence 45 VCU 46 Mississippi St. 47 Rutgers 48 Charleston 49 Drake 50 Oral Roberts 51 Kent St. 52 Iona 53 Louisiana 54 Yale 55 Kennesaw 56 Furman 57 Grand Canyon 58 Montana St 59 UCSB 60 UNC Asheville 61 Colgate 62 Vermont 63 Grambling 64 N. Kentucky 65 Tex AM CC 66 Howard 67 SEMO 68 FDU

F4 Out: Clemson, North Carolina, Arizona St., Vanderbilt

N4 Out: N Texas, Pittsburgh, Oregon, UAB

NIT Prediction 6:30pmET

1 SMU, Wyoming, Wake Forest, VCU

2 Dayton, Xavier, N Texas, Florida

3 Colorado, St. Bonaventure, St. Louis, BYU

4 Virginia, Belmont, W Virginia, Santa Clara

5 Miss St, Vandy, Oregon, Drake

6 S Carolina, St. John’s, Princeton, Iona

7 N Iowa, Toledo, Towson, Texas St

8 Long Beach St, Cleveland St, Nicholls St, Alcorn St

Ineligible: Oklahoma St

F4 Out: Missouri St, Kansas St, Maryland, Washington St.

Final S Curve 3/13/2022 5:30pm ET

S Curve 1 Arizona 2 Gonzaga 3 Kansas 4 Baylor 5 Villanova 6 Tennessee 7 Kentucky 8 Purdue 9 Auburn 10 Duke 11 Texas Tech 12 UCLA 13 Wisconsin 14 Arkansas 15 Houston 16 Illinois 17 Iowa 18 Providence 19 Connecticut 20 St Mary’s CA 21 Colorado St 22 Texas 23 Boise St 24 LSU 25 Murray St 26 USC 27 Alabama 28 Michigan St 29 San Diego St 30 North Carolina 31 Ohio St 32 Seton Hall 33 Creighton 34 TCU 35 Memphis 36 San Francisco 37 Loyola-Chicago 38 Marquette 39 Virginia Tech 40 Davidson 41 Iowa St 42 Michigan 43 SMU 44 Texas A&M 45 Miami FL 46 Indiana 47 Wyoming 48 UAB 49 Richmond 50 S Dakota St 51 New Mexico St 52 Chattanooga 53 Vermont 54 Akron 55 Montana St 56 Longwood 57 Yale 58 St Peter’s 59 Delaware 60 Colgate 61 Georgia St 62 Jacksonville St 63 Norfolk St 64 CS Fullerton 65 Bryant 66 TX Southern 67 Wright St 68 TAM C. Christi

F4 Out: ND, Oklahoma, Wake Forest, Xavier

N4 Out: Rutgers, VCU, Dayton, N Texas

S Curve 4pm ET

S Curve 1 Arizona 2 Gonzaga 3 Kansas 4 Baylor 5 Villanova 6 Kentucky 7 Tennessee 8 Auburn 9 Purdue 10 Duke 11 Texas Tech 12 UCLA 13 Wisconsin 14 Arkansas 15 Illinois 16 Houston 17 Providence 18 Connecticut 19 Iowa 20 St Mary’s CA 21 Colorado St 22 Texas 23 Boise St 24 LSU 25 Murray St 26 USC 27 Alabama 28 Michigan St 29 San Diego St 30 North Carolina 31 Ohio St 32 Seton Hall 33 Memphis 34 Creighton 35 TCU 36 San Francisco 37 Loyola-Chicago 38 Marquette 39 Virginia Tech 40 Davidson 41 Iowa St 42 Michigan 43 SMU 44 Texas A&M 45 Miami FL 46 Indiana 47 Wyoming 48 UAB 49 Richmond 50 S Dakota St 51 New Mexico St 52 Chattanooga 53 Vermont 54 Akron 55 Montana St 56 Longwood 57 Yale 58 St Peter’s 59 Delaware 60 Colgate 61 Georgia St 62 Jacksonville St 63 Norfolk St 64 CS Fullerton 65 Bryant 66 TX Southern 67 Wright St 68 TAM C. Christi

If Purdue beats Iowa, they will be a 2 seed and Auburn falls to a 3. Iowa would stay a 5.

If Iowa beats Purdue, Purdue stays a 3 and Iowa moves to a 4 only if Houston loses.

If Houston beats Memphis, they are still a 4 seed and Memphis will remain a 9 seed.

If Memphis wins, they swap with Seton Hall for an 8 seed, and Houston falls to a 5 seed. The new 4 is either Iowa (if they win) or Providence.

F4 Out: ND, Oklahoma, Wake Forest, Xavier

N4 Out: Rutgers, VCU, Dayton, N Texas

Regan NCAA Tourament Index 3/13/2022 (games through 3/12/2022)

As of 2pm ET

Updates coming at 3:30 ET and 5:30 ET

Richmond is out if they don’t win. Davidson in regardless. Texas A&M in regardless of today’s result.

1 Arizona Kansas Gonzaga Baylor

2 Villanova Tennessee Kentucky Purdue

3 Auburn Duke Texas Tech UCLA

4 Wisconsin Arkansas Houston Illinois

5 Providence Connecticut Iowa St Mary’s CA

6 Colorado St Boise St Murray St Texas

7 North Carolina LSU San Diego St USC

8 Michigan St Memphis Alabama Seton Hall

9 Davidson Ohio St Creighton San Francisco

10 Loyola-Chicago TCU Virginia Tech Texas A&M

11 SMU Marquette Michigan Iowa St

12 Miami Fla/Oklahoma Indiana/Wyoming UAB New Mexico St

13 S Dakota St Chattanooga Vermont Akron

14 Montana St Longwood St Peter’s Delaware

15 Colgate Yale Norfolk St Georgia St

16 Jacksonville St CS Fullerton Bryant/Tex CC Wright St/Tex So

Last 4 BYES SMU Marquette Michigan Iowa St

Last 4 IN Miami Fla Wyoming Indiana Oklahoma

1st 4 OUT Notre Dame Wake Forest VCU Dayton

2nd 4 OUT Xavier North Texas Rutgers Florida

3rd 4 OUT Colorado St Bonaventure St Louis BYU

Regan NCAA Tourament Index 3/12/2022 (games through 3/11/2022)

1 Gonzaga Arizona Kansas Baylor

2 Villanova Kentucky Auburn Duke

3 Tennessee UCLA Purdue Texas Tech

4 Arkansas Wisconsin Houston Illinois

5 Providence Connecticut St Mary’s CA Colorado St

6 Iowa San Diego St Boise St Murray St

7 Texas LSU North Carolina Michigan St

8 USC Memphis Seton Hall San Francisco

9 Ohio St Alabama Loyola-Chicago Creighton

10 SMU Davidson Marquette TCU

11 Virginia Tech Michigan Dayton Indiana

12 Miami Fla/Iowa St Texas A&M/Wyoming UAB New Mexico St

13 S Dakota St Chattanooga Vermont Princeton

14 Kent Colgate Montana St Delaware

15 Longwood St Peter’s Long Beach St Georgia St

16 Jacksonville St Norfolk St Bryant/SE La Wright St/Tex So

Last 4 BYES Virginia Tech Michigan Dayton Indiana

Last 4 IN Miami Fla Texas A&M Wyoming Iowa St

1st 4 OUT Oklahoma Wake Forest Notre Dame VCU

2nd 4 OUT Xavier North Texas St Louis Oklahoma St

3rd 4 OUT Colorado Rutgers Florida, St. Bonaventure

Final Field (S Curve) 3-14-2021 5:00pm ET

Gonzaga	1
Baylor	2
Illinois	3
Michigan	4
Alabama	5
Ohio St	6
Houston	7
Iowa	8
Arkansas	9
Texas	10
Kansas	11
Virginia	12
Oklahoma St	13
Purdue	14
Villanova	15
West Virginia	16
Creighton	17
Florida St	18
USC	19
San Diego St	20
Colorado	21
Tennessee	22
LSU	23
Oregon	24
Texas Tech	25
Clemson	26
Wisconsin	27
Loyola-Chicago	28
BYU	29
Georgia Tech	30
North Carolina	31
Connecticut	32
Missouri	33
St Bonaventure	34
Florida	35
Oklahoma	36
Rutgers	37
VCU	38
Virginia Tech	39
Maryland	40
Utah St	41
UCLA	42
Louisville	43
Syracuse	44
Michigan St	45
Colorado St	46
Georgetown	47
UC Santa Barbara	48
Winthrop	49
Oregon St	50
Colgate	51
North Texas	52
Ohio	53
UNC Greensboro	54
Liberty	55
Abilene Chr	56
Morehead St	57
E Washington	58
Grand Canyon	59
Cleveland St	60
Iona	61
Drexel	62
Oral Roberts	63
Hartford	64
Norfolk St	65
Mt St Mary’s	66
Appalachian St	67
TX Southern	68