NIT – Bracket Prediction 2018

1	St. Mary’s	Marquette	Baylor	Syracuse
2	Arizona St.	Oklahoma St.	Notre Dame	Middle Tennessee
3	W. Kentucky	Penn St.	Nebraska	Mississippi St.
4	Utah	Boise St.	Oregon	LSU
5	Maryland	Washington	Temple	Stanford
6	South Carolina	Boston College	ULL	Vermont
7	UC Davis	Harvard	Rider	N Kentucky
8	Hampton	Fla Gulf Coast	SE Louisiana	Wagner
Just missed:	BYU		Georgia declined a bid
	Colorado
	Belmont
	Old Dominion
	Tulsa
	UCF
	Wyoming
	Northeastern

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Final Bracket Prediction (Cincinnati won AAC)

First four teams out: St. Mary’s, Marquette, Baylor, Syracuse

Next four out: Oklahoma St, Arizona St, MTSU, Notre Dame

	Boston	Atlanta	Omaha	Los Angeles
1	Villanova	Virginia	Kansas	Xavier
2	Purdue	Cincinnati	Duke	North Carolina
3	Tennessee	Michigan	Michigan St	Arizona
4	West Virginia	Kentucky	Wichita St	Gonzaga
5	Clemson	Houston	Auburn	Texas Tech
6	Ohio St	Florida	Arkansas	TCU
7	Seton Hall	Miami FL	Texas A&M	Nevada
8	Rhode Island	Loyola-Chicago	Providence	Kansas St.
9	Alabama	Creighton	Missouri	NC State
10	St Bonaventure	Butler	Texas	USC
11	Oklahoma/ Florida St.	Va Tech/ Louisville	UCLA	New Mexico St
12	Davidson	Murray St	S Dakota St	San Diego St
13	Buffalo	UNC Greensboro	Col Charleston	Marshall
14	Bucknell	Georgia St	Montana	SF Austin
15	Penn	Lipscomb	Wright St	CS Fullerton
16	Iona	UMBC	Radford/           NC Central	Long Island/ Texas Southern

Bracket Prediction (if Houston had won AAC)

First four teams out: St. Mary’s, Marquette, Baylor, Syracuse

Next four out: Oklahoma St, Arizona St, MTSU, Notre Dame

	Boston	Atlanta	Omaha	Los Angeles
1	Villanova	Virginia	Kansas	Xavier
2	Purdue	Michigan	Duke	North Carolina
3	Cincinnati	Tennessee	Michigan St	Arizona
4	Kentucky	Wichita St.	Houston	Gonzaga
5	Clemson	W Virginia	Auburn	Texas Tech
6	Florida	Ohio St.	Arkansas	TCU
7	Seton Hall	Miami FL	Texas A&M	Nevada
8	Rhode Island	Loyola-Chicago	Providence	Kansas St.
9	Alabama	Creighton	Missouri	NC State
10	St Bonaventure	Butler	Texas	USC
11	Oklahoma/ Florida St.	Va Tech/ Louisville	UCLA	New Mexico St
12	Davidson	Murray St	S Dakota St	San Diego St
13	Buffalo	UNC Greensboro	Col Charleston	Marshall
14	Bucknell	Georgia St	Montana	SF Austin
15	Penn	Lipscomb	Wright St	CS Fullerton
16	Iona	UMBC	Radford/           NC Central	Long Island/ Texas Southern

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/11/2018– Games through 3/10/2018

For full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index, click here.

The projected field as of March 11, 2018, Sunday morning (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  I will be updating the site again throughout the day.

1	Virginia	Villanova	Kansas	Xavier
2	North Carolina	Duke	Tennessee	Purdue
3	Cincinnati	Michigan	Michigan St	Arizona
4	Wichita St	Gonzaga	West Virginia	Houston
5	Kentucky	Texas Tech	Auburn	Clemson
6	Florida	Ohio St	Arkansas	TCU
7	Texas A&M	Miami FL	Seton Hall	Nevada
8	Providence	Kansas St	Loyola-Chicago	Rhode Island
9	Alabama	Missouri	Creighton	Butler
10	NC State	Texas	St Bonaventure	USC
11	UCLA	Virginia Tech	Louisville/         St. Mary’s.	Oklahoma/ Florida St.
12	New Mexico St	San Diego St	S Dakota St	Murray St
13	UNC Greensboro	Buffalo	Col Charleston	Marshall
14	Montana	Bucknell	SF Austin	Georgia St
15	Lipscomb	Wright St	Penn	CS Fullerton
16	UMBC	Iona	Radford/           NC Central	Long Island/ Texas Southern
Last 4 BYES	St Bonaventure	USC	UCLA	Virginia Tech
Last 4 IN	Louisville	Oklahoma	Florida St.	St. Mary’s
1st 4 OUT	Marquette	Baylor	Syracuse	Oklahoma St
2nd 4 OUT	Arizona St	MTSU	Notre Dame	Nebraska

A few notes on my projected field:

• The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney.  Davidson would steal a bid (probably from St. Mary’s) if they won today.
• There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/10/2018– Games through 3/9/2018

For full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index, click here

The projected field as of March 10, 2018 (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  I will be updating the site early Sunday and again at around 5:30pmET.

1	Virginia	Villanova	Kansas	North Carolina
2	Xavier	Duke	Purdue	Tennessee
3	Michigan	Cincinnati	Michigan St	Wichita St
4	West Virginia	Gonzaga	Texas Tech	Auburn
5	Arizona	Clemson	Kentucky	Houston
6	Arkansas	Florida	Ohio St	TCU
7	Texas A&M	Miami FL	Seton Hall	Providence
8	Nevada	Kansas St	Loyola-Chicago	Alabama
9	St Bonaventure	Rhode Island	USC	Missouri
10	Butler	Texas	Creighton	NC State
11	UCLA	Virginia Tech	Louisville/ Florida St.	Oklahoma/        St. Mary’s
12	New Mexico St	WKU	San Diego St	S Dakota St
13	Murray St	UNC Greensboro	Buffalo	Vermont
14	Col Charleston	ULL	Montana	Bucknell
15	SF Austin	Lipscomb	Wright St	UC Irvine
16	Penn	Iona	Radford/      Texas Southern	Long Island/ Hampton
Last 4 BYES	Creighton	NC State	UCLA	Virginia Tech
Last 4 IN	Louisville	Oklahoma	St. Mary’s	Florida St.
1st 4 OUT	Marquette	Baylor	Syracuse	MTSU
2nd 4 OUT	Oklahoma St	Arizona St	Notre Dame	Nebraska

A few notes on my projected field:

• The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney (for example, right now I have Stephen F. Austin ahead of SE Louisiana even though SE Louisiana had the better conference record in the Southland.)
• This is based on the selection being today, not on what is projected to occur between now and Sunday.
• There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/9/2018– Games through 3/8/2018

For full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index, click here.

The projected field as of March 9, 2018 (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  It’s very close for the last few spots, unlike 2017 when there was a gap after the last at large team, and it was much clearer who should be in.

1	Virginia	Villanova	Xavier	Duke
2	Kansas	North Carolina	Purdue	Michigan
3	Tennessee	Michigan St	Cincinnati	Auburn
4	Wichita St	Texas Tech	Gonzaga	West Virginia
5	Clemson	Arizona	Florida	Kentucky
6	Houston	TCU	Ohio St	Texas A&M
7	Arkansas	Nevada	Miami FL	Kansas St
8	Seton Hall	Loyola-Chicago	St Bonaventure	Butler
9	Providence	UCLA	Rhode Island	USC
10	Missouri	Creighton	NC State	Virginia Tech
11	Oklahoma	Texas	Alabama	Louisville/         St. Mary’s
12	Florida St./ Marquette	S Dakota St	New Mexico St	WKU
13	Murray St	UNC Greensboro	Col Charleston	Buffalo
14	Vermont	ULL	Montana	Bucknell
15	UC Santa Barbara	Lipscomb	SF Austin	Wright St
16	Penn	Iona	Radford/   Prairie View	Long Island/ Hampton
Last 4 BYES	Virginia Tech	Oklahoma	Texas	Alabama
Last 4 IN	Louisville	St. Mary’s	Florida St.	Marquette
1st 4 OUT	Baylor	MTSU	Syracuse	Oklahoma St
2nd 4 OUT	Notre Dame	Arizona St	Georgia	Nebraska

A few notes on my projected field:

• The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney (for example, right now I have Stephen F. Austin ahead of Nicholls St. even though Nicholls is the #1 seed in the Southland.)
• This is based on the selection being today, not on what is projected to occur between now and Selection Sunday.
• There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/8/2018– Games through 3/7/2018

For full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index, click here

The projected field as of March 8, 2018 (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  Louisville and Oklahoma St. move into the current field, replacing St. Mary’s and Syracuse:

1	Virginia	Villanova	Xavier	Duke
2	Kansas	North Carolina	Purdue	Tennessee
3	Michigan	Michigan St	Cincinnati	Wichita St
4	Auburn	Gonzaga	Texas Tech	West Virginia
5	Clemson	Florida	TCU	Kentucky
6	Arizona	Texas A&M	Houston	Miami FL
7	Ohio St	Seton Hall	Arkansas	Nevada
8	Missouri	Loyola-Chicago	Creighton	Kansas St
9	St Bonaventure	Rhode Island	Texas	UCLA
10	NC State	USC	Virginia Tech	Oklahoma
11	Butler	Louisville	Providence	MTSU
12	Baylor/ Oklahoma St.	Marquette/ Florida St.	New Mexico St	S Dakota St
13	Murray St	UNC Greensboro	Col Charleston	Vermont
14	Buffalo	ULL	Montana	Bucknell
15	UC Davis	Lipscomb	Wright St	SF Austin
16	Penn	Iona	Radford/   Prairie View	Long Island /Hampton
Last 4 BYES	Oklahoma	Butler	Louisville	Providence
Last 4 IN	Baylor	Marquette	Florida St.	Oklahoma St.
1st 4 OUT	St Mary’s CA	Alabama	Notre Dame	Syracuse
2nd 4 OUT	Utah	Arizona St	Boise St	Nebraska

A few notes on my projected field:

• The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney (for example, right now I have Stephen F. Austin ahead of Nicholls St. even though Nicholls is the #1 seed in the Southland.)
• This is based on the selection being today, not on what is projected to occur between now and Selection Sunday.
• There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/7/2018– Games through 3/6/2018

For full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index, click here

The projected field as of March 7, 2018 (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  Syracuse moves into the current field, replacing Arizona St.

1	Virginia	Villanova	Xavier	Duke
2	Kansas	North Carolina	Purdue	Tennessee
3	Michigan	Cincinnati	Michigan St	Auburn
4	Wichita St	Gonzaga	Texas Tech	West Virginia
5	Clemson	TCU	Florida	Kentucky
6	Arizona	Miami FL	Texas A&M	Houston
7	Ohio St	Seton Hall	Arkansas	Nevada
8	Missouri	NC State	Loyola-Chicago	Creighton
9	Virginia Tech	St Bonaventure	Oklahoma	Kansas St
10	Rhode Island	Florida St	UCLA	Texas
11	USC	Butler	Providence	Baylor/ Marquette
12	MTSU	Syracuse/          St. Mary’s	New Mexico St	S Dakota St
13	Murray St	UNC Greensboro	Col Charleston	Buffalo
14	Vermont	ULL	Montana	Bucknell
15	UC Davis	Lipscomb	Wright St	SF Austin
16	Penn	Iona	Radford/   Prairie View	Long Island/ Hampton
Last 4 BYES	Texas	USC	Butler	Providence
Last 4 IN	Baylor	Marquette	Syracuse	St. Mary’s
1st 4 OUT	Arizona St	Louisville	Alabama	Utah
2nd 4 OUT	Oklahoma St	Boise St	Nebraska	Penn St

A few notes on my projected field:

• The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney (for example, right now I have Stephen F. Austin ahead of Nicholls St. even though Nicholls is the #1 seed in the Southland.
• This is based on the selection being today, not on what is projected to occur between now and Selection Sunday.
• There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/6/2018– Games through 3/5/2018

Full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3-6-2018

The projected field as of March 6, 2018 (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.

1	Virginia	Villanova	Xavier	Duke
2	Kansas	North Carolina	Purdue	Tennessee
3	Michigan	Cincinnati	Michigan St	Auburn
4	Wichita St	Texas Tech	Gonzaga	West Virginia
5	Clemson	TCU	Florida	Kentucky
6	Arizona	Miami FL	Texas A&M	Houston
7	Ohio St	Seton Hall	Arkansas	Nevada
8	Missouri	NC State	Virginia Tech	Loyola-Chicago
9	St Bonaventure	Creighton	Oklahoma	Kansas St
10	Rhode Island	UCLA	Florida St	USC
11	Texas	Butler	Providence	MTSU
12	Baylor/    Arizona St.	Marquette/       St. Mary’s	New Mexico St	S Dakota St
13	Murray St	UNC Greensboro	Buffalo	Vermont
14	ULL	Northeastern	Montana	Bucknell
15	UC Davis	Lipscomb	SF Austin	Wright St
16	Penn	Iona	Wagner/    Prairie View	Radford/ Hampton
Last 4 BYES	USC	Texas	Butler	Providence
Last 4 IN	Baylor	Marquette	St. Mary’s	Arizona St.
1st 4 OUT	Louisville	Syracuse	Alabama	Utah
2nd 4 OUT	Oklahoma St	Boise St	Nebraska	Penn St

A few notes on my projected field:

• The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney (for example, right now I have Stephen F. Austin ahead of Nicholls St. even though Nicholls is the #1 seed in the Southland.
• This is based on the selection being today, not on what is projected to occur between now and Selection Sunday.
• There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/5/2018– Games through 3/4/2018

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

A few notes on my projected field:

• The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney (for example, right now I have Stephen F. Austin ahead of Nicholls St. even though Nicholls is the #1 seed in the Southland.
• This is based on the selection being today, not on what is projected to occur between now and Selection Sunday.
• There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

Full numerical output of the Regan Index as of 3-5-2018

The projected field as of March 5, 2018 (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.

1	Virginia	Villanova	Xavier	Duke
2	Kansas	North Carolina	Purdue	Tennessee
3	Michigan	Cincinnati	Michigan St	Auburn
4	Wichita St	Texas Tech	Gonzaga	West Virginia
5	Clemson	TCU	Florida	Kentucky
6	Arizona	Houston	Texas A&M	Miami FL
7	Ohio St	Seton Hall	Arkansas	Nevada
8	Missouri	Virginia Tech	Loyola-Chicago	NC State
9	St Bonaventure	Creighton	Oklahoma	Kansas St
10	Rhode Island	UCLA	Florida St	St Mary’s CA
11	USC	Texas	Butler	Providence/ Baylor
12	MTSU	Marquette/ Louisville	New Mexico St	S Dakota St
13	Murray St	UNC Greensboro	Buffalo	Vermont
14	ULL	Northeastern	Montana	Bucknell
15	UC Davis	Lipscomb	SF Austin	Wright St
16	Penn	Wagner	Iona/Prairie View	Radford/ Hampton
Last 4 BYES	St Mary’s CA	USC	Texas	Butler
Last 4 IN	Providence	Baylor	Marquette	Louisville
1st 4 OUT	Arizona St	Syracuse	Alabama	Utah
2nd 4 OUT	Oklahoma St	Boise St	Nebraska	Penn St