NIT – Bracket Prediction 2018

1 St. Mary’s Marquette Baylor Syracuse
2 Arizona St. Oklahoma St. Notre Dame Middle Tennessee
3 W. Kentucky Penn St. Nebraska Mississippi St.
4 Utah Boise St. Oregon LSU
5 Maryland Washington Temple Stanford
6 South Carolina Boston College ULL Vermont
7 UC Davis Harvard Rider N Kentucky
8 Hampton Fla Gulf Coast SE Louisiana Wagner
Just missed: BYU  Georgia declined a bid
Colorado
Belmont
Old Dominion
Tulsa
UCF
Wyoming
Northeastern
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Final Bracket Prediction (Cincinnati won AAC)

First four teams out: St. Mary’s, Marquette, Baylor, Syracuse

Next four out: Oklahoma St, Arizona St, MTSU, Notre Dame

Boston Atlanta Omaha Los Angeles
1 Villanova Virginia Kansas Xavier
2 Purdue Cincinnati Duke North Carolina
3 Tennessee Michigan Michigan St Arizona
4 West Virginia Kentucky Wichita St Gonzaga
5 Clemson Houston Auburn Texas Tech
6 Ohio St Florida Arkansas TCU
7 Seton Hall Miami FL Texas A&M Nevada
8 Rhode Island Loyola-Chicago Providence Kansas St.
9 Alabama Creighton Missouri NC State
10 St Bonaventure Butler Texas USC
11 Oklahoma/ Florida St. Va Tech/ Louisville UCLA New Mexico St
12 Davidson Murray St S Dakota St San Diego St
13 Buffalo UNC Greensboro Col Charleston Marshall
14 Bucknell Georgia St Montana SF Austin
15 Penn Lipscomb Wright St CS Fullerton
16 Iona UMBC Radford/           NC Central Long Island/ Texas Southern

Bracket Prediction (if Houston had won AAC)

First four teams out: St. Mary’s, Marquette, Baylor, Syracuse

Next four out: Oklahoma St, Arizona St, MTSU, Notre Dame

Boston Atlanta Omaha Los Angeles
1 Villanova Virginia Kansas Xavier
2 Purdue Michigan Duke North Carolina
3 Cincinnati Tennessee Michigan St Arizona
4 Kentucky Wichita St. Houston Gonzaga
5 Clemson W Virginia Auburn Texas Tech
6 Florida Ohio St. Arkansas TCU
7 Seton Hall Miami FL Texas A&M Nevada
8 Rhode Island Loyola-Chicago Providence Kansas St.
9 Alabama Creighton Missouri NC State
10 St Bonaventure Butler Texas USC
11 Oklahoma/ Florida St. Va Tech/ Louisville UCLA New Mexico St
12 Davidson Murray St S Dakota St San Diego St
13 Buffalo UNC Greensboro Col Charleston Marshall
14 Bucknell Georgia St Montana SF Austin
15 Penn Lipscomb Wright St CS Fullerton
16 Iona UMBC Radford/           NC Central Long Island/ Texas Southern

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/11/2018– Games through 3/10/2018

For full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index, click here.

The projected field as of March 11, 2018, Sunday morning (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  I will be updating the site again throughout the day.

1 Virginia Villanova Kansas Xavier
2 North Carolina Duke Tennessee Purdue
3 Cincinnati Michigan Michigan St Arizona
4 Wichita St Gonzaga West Virginia Houston
5 Kentucky Texas Tech Auburn Clemson
6 Florida Ohio St Arkansas TCU
7 Texas A&M Miami FL Seton Hall Nevada
8 Providence Kansas St Loyola-Chicago Rhode Island
9 Alabama Missouri Creighton Butler
10 NC State Texas St Bonaventure USC
11 UCLA Virginia Tech Louisville/         St. Mary’s. Oklahoma/ Florida St.
12 New Mexico St San Diego St S Dakota St Murray St
13 UNC Greensboro Buffalo Col Charleston Marshall
14 Montana Bucknell SF Austin Georgia St
15 Lipscomb Wright St Penn CS Fullerton
16 UMBC Iona Radford/           NC Central Long Island/ Texas Southern
Last 4 BYES St Bonaventure USC UCLA Virginia Tech
Last 4 IN Louisville Oklahoma Florida St. St. Mary’s
1st 4 OUT Marquette Baylor Syracuse Oklahoma St
2nd 4 OUT Arizona St MTSU Notre Dame Nebraska

A few notes on my projected field:

  • The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney.  Davidson would steal a bid (probably from St. Mary’s) if they won today.
  • There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/10/2018– Games through 3/9/2018

For full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index, click here

The projected field as of March 10, 2018 (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  I will be updating the site early Sunday and again at around 5:30pmET.

1 Virginia Villanova Kansas North Carolina
2 Xavier Duke Purdue Tennessee
3 Michigan Cincinnati Michigan St Wichita St
4 West Virginia Gonzaga Texas Tech Auburn
5 Arizona Clemson Kentucky Houston
6 Arkansas Florida Ohio St TCU
7 Texas A&M Miami FL Seton Hall Providence
8 Nevada Kansas St Loyola-Chicago Alabama
9 St Bonaventure Rhode Island USC Missouri
10 Butler Texas Creighton NC State
11 UCLA Virginia Tech Louisville/ Florida St. Oklahoma/        St. Mary’s
12 New Mexico St WKU San Diego St S Dakota St
13 Murray St UNC Greensboro Buffalo Vermont
14 Col Charleston ULL Montana Bucknell
15 SF Austin Lipscomb Wright St UC Irvine
16 Penn Iona Radford/      Texas Southern Long Island/ Hampton
Last 4 BYES Creighton NC State UCLA Virginia Tech
Last 4 IN Louisville Oklahoma St. Mary’s Florida St.
1st 4 OUT Marquette Baylor Syracuse MTSU
2nd 4 OUT Oklahoma St Arizona St Notre Dame Nebraska

A few notes on my projected field:

  • The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney (for example, right now I have Stephen F. Austin ahead of SE Louisiana even though SE Louisiana had the better conference record in the Southland.)
  • This is based on the selection being today, not on what is projected to occur between now and Sunday.
  • There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/9/2018– Games through 3/8/2018

For full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index, click here.

The projected field as of March 9, 2018 (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  It’s very close for the last few spots, unlike 2017 when there was a gap after the last at large team, and it was much clearer who should be in.

1 Virginia Villanova Xavier Duke
2 Kansas North Carolina Purdue Michigan
3 Tennessee Michigan St Cincinnati Auburn
4 Wichita St Texas Tech Gonzaga West Virginia
5 Clemson Arizona Florida Kentucky
6 Houston TCU Ohio St Texas A&M
7 Arkansas Nevada Miami FL Kansas St
8 Seton Hall Loyola-Chicago St Bonaventure Butler
9 Providence UCLA Rhode Island USC
10 Missouri Creighton NC State Virginia Tech
11 Oklahoma Texas Alabama Louisville/         St. Mary’s
12 Florida St./ Marquette S Dakota St New Mexico St WKU
13 Murray St UNC Greensboro Col Charleston Buffalo
14 Vermont ULL Montana Bucknell
15 UC Santa Barbara Lipscomb SF Austin Wright St
16 Penn Iona Radford/   Prairie View Long Island/ Hampton
Last 4 BYES Virginia Tech Oklahoma Texas Alabama
Last 4 IN Louisville St. Mary’s Florida St. Marquette
1st 4 OUT Baylor MTSU Syracuse Oklahoma St
2nd 4 OUT Notre Dame Arizona St Georgia Nebraska

A few notes on my projected field:

  • The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney (for example, right now I have Stephen F. Austin ahead of Nicholls St. even though Nicholls is the #1 seed in the Southland.)
  • This is based on the selection being today, not on what is projected to occur between now and Selection Sunday.
  • There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/8/2018– Games through 3/7/2018

For full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index, click here

The projected field as of March 8, 2018 (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  Louisville and Oklahoma St. move into the current field, replacing St. Mary’s and Syracuse:

1 Virginia Villanova Xavier Duke
2 Kansas North Carolina Purdue Tennessee
3 Michigan Michigan St Cincinnati Wichita St
4 Auburn Gonzaga Texas Tech West Virginia
5 Clemson Florida TCU Kentucky
6 Arizona Texas A&M Houston Miami FL
7 Ohio St Seton Hall Arkansas Nevada
8 Missouri Loyola-Chicago Creighton Kansas St
9 St Bonaventure Rhode Island Texas UCLA
10 NC State USC Virginia Tech Oklahoma
11 Butler Louisville Providence MTSU
12 Baylor/ Oklahoma St. Marquette/ Florida St. New Mexico St S Dakota St
13 Murray St UNC Greensboro Col Charleston Vermont
14 Buffalo ULL Montana Bucknell
15 UC Davis Lipscomb Wright St SF Austin
16 Penn Iona Radford/   Prairie View Long Island /Hampton
Last 4 BYES Oklahoma Butler Louisville Providence
Last 4 IN Baylor Marquette Florida St. Oklahoma St.
1st 4 OUT St Mary’s CA Alabama Notre Dame Syracuse
2nd 4 OUT Utah Arizona St Boise St Nebraska

A few notes on my projected field:

  • The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney (for example, right now I have Stephen F. Austin ahead of Nicholls St. even though Nicholls is the #1 seed in the Southland.)
  • This is based on the selection being today, not on what is projected to occur between now and Selection Sunday.
  • There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/7/2018– Games through 3/6/2018

For full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index, click here

The projected field as of March 7, 2018 (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.  Syracuse moves into the current field, replacing Arizona St.

1 Virginia Villanova Xavier Duke
2 Kansas North Carolina Purdue Tennessee
3 Michigan Cincinnati Michigan St Auburn
4 Wichita St Gonzaga Texas Tech West Virginia
5 Clemson TCU Florida Kentucky
6 Arizona Miami FL Texas A&M Houston
7 Ohio St Seton Hall Arkansas Nevada
8 Missouri NC State Loyola-Chicago Creighton
9 Virginia Tech St Bonaventure Oklahoma Kansas St
10 Rhode Island Florida St UCLA Texas
11 USC Butler Providence Baylor/ Marquette
12 MTSU Syracuse/          St. Mary’s New Mexico St S Dakota St
13 Murray St UNC Greensboro Col Charleston Buffalo
14 Vermont ULL Montana Bucknell
15 UC Davis Lipscomb Wright St SF Austin
16 Penn Iona Radford/   Prairie View Long Island/ Hampton
Last 4 BYES Texas USC Butler Providence
Last 4 IN Baylor Marquette Syracuse St. Mary’s
1st 4 OUT Arizona St Louisville Alabama Utah
2nd 4 OUT Oklahoma St Boise St Nebraska Penn St

A few notes on my projected field:

  • The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney (for example, right now I have Stephen F. Austin ahead of Nicholls St. even though Nicholls is the #1 seed in the Southland.
  • This is based on the selection being today, not on what is projected to occur between now and Selection Sunday.
  • There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/6/2018– Games through 3/5/2018

Full numerical output of the Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3-6-2018

The projected field as of March 6, 2018 (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.

1 Virginia Villanova Xavier Duke
2 Kansas North Carolina Purdue Tennessee
3 Michigan Cincinnati Michigan St Auburn
4 Wichita St Texas Tech Gonzaga West Virginia
5 Clemson TCU Florida Kentucky
6 Arizona Miami FL Texas A&M Houston
7 Ohio St Seton Hall Arkansas Nevada
8 Missouri NC State Virginia Tech Loyola-Chicago
9 St Bonaventure Creighton Oklahoma Kansas St
10 Rhode Island UCLA Florida St USC
11 Texas Butler Providence MTSU
12 Baylor/    Arizona St. Marquette/       St. Mary’s New Mexico St S Dakota St
13 Murray St UNC Greensboro Buffalo Vermont
14 ULL Northeastern Montana Bucknell
15 UC Davis Lipscomb SF Austin Wright St
16 Penn Iona Wagner/    Prairie View Radford/ Hampton
Last 4 BYES USC Texas Butler Providence
Last 4 IN Baylor Marquette St. Mary’s Arizona St.
1st 4 OUT Louisville Syracuse Alabama Utah
2nd 4 OUT Oklahoma St Boise St Nebraska Penn St

A few notes on my projected field:

  • The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney (for example, right now I have Stephen F. Austin ahead of Nicholls St. even though Nicholls is the #1 seed in the Southland.
  • This is based on the selection being today, not on what is projected to occur between now and Selection Sunday.
  • There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

Regan NCAA Tournament Index as of 3/5/2018– Games through 3/4/2018

If you’d like to follow me on Twitter for daily update notifications: @MikeReganNC

You can also send me any questions via Twitter.

A few notes on my projected field:

  • The team assumed to get the automatic bid for each conference is the highest team in the ratings currently eligible for the bid. In other words, it isn’t necessarily the team with the better seed in the conference tourney (for example, right now I have Stephen F. Austin ahead of Nicholls St. even though Nicholls is the #1 seed in the Southland.
  • This is based on the selection being today, not on what is projected to occur between now and Selection Sunday.
  • There is significant separation between a few of the teams ranked next to each other.  Please look at the Index output linked below to see how close/far teams are from each other.  A difference of 1.00 between teams ranked next to each other is average.

Full numerical output of the Regan Index as of 3-5-2018

The projected field as of March 5, 2018 (in order from left to right on each seed line – this is not a bracket!) Assumed automatic bids are the team from each conference that is highest in the index.

1 Virginia Villanova Xavier Duke
2 Kansas North Carolina Purdue Tennessee
3 Michigan Cincinnati Michigan St Auburn
4 Wichita St Texas Tech Gonzaga West Virginia
5 Clemson TCU Florida Kentucky
6 Arizona Houston Texas A&M Miami FL
7 Ohio St Seton Hall Arkansas Nevada
8 Missouri Virginia Tech Loyola-Chicago NC State
9 St Bonaventure Creighton Oklahoma Kansas St
10 Rhode Island UCLA Florida St St Mary’s CA
11 USC Texas Butler Providence/ Baylor
12 MTSU Marquette/ Louisville New Mexico St S Dakota St
13 Murray St UNC Greensboro Buffalo Vermont
14 ULL Northeastern Montana Bucknell
15 UC Davis Lipscomb SF Austin Wright St
16 Penn Wagner Iona/Prairie View Radford/ Hampton
Last 4 BYES St Mary’s CA USC Texas Butler
Last 4 IN Providence Baylor Marquette Louisville
1st 4 OUT Arizona St Syracuse Alabama Utah
2nd 4 OUT Oklahoma St Boise St Nebraska Penn St